This post references an idea presented in The Model Thinker by Scott Page: “Linear regressions reveal the magnitude of correlations of independent variables with the variable of interest. If that correlation is causal, changes to the variable with a big coefficient will have large effects. Policies based on big coefficients…

It seems if it were possible to plot historical events in terms of cumulative subsequent impact, it would almost certainly follow a power-law distribution with a very long tail. It’s interesting to think about that in terms of individual human’s ambitions. I’ve never found contentment in living without striving for…

I’ve had a long-running self-conception of existing multiple standard deviations away from humanity’s bell curve mean. (Sometimes I wonder if everyone thinks that, which is of course, not possible.) I’m 6'6″ and wear a size 17 shoe. The frequency and regularity that having a physical body size well outside “average”…

I guess I keep hoping I will come across a modeling method that, with only minor caveats, can accurately predict human behavior given specified circumstances. I realize this is unrealistic to hope for, but I persist. Perhaps there’s some comfort or beauty in not being able to capture human dynamism…

Help Wanted Hello. I’m a bit lost. Can you help? Great! Some Quick Background Info: I’m no stranger to a radical career pivot. So far, I’ve moved from audio engineering to sustainability professional to entrepreneur in the twenty years since graduating from high school. I’ve attended at two community colleges, two universities, and a trade school. I…

One of the differentiators that led my wife and I to choosing our current house was the large apple tree in our backyard. Pies and cider and sauce and jams all handmade in our kitchen were very exciting prospects. As I spent yesterday morning picking the last couple hundred of…

I’m not much of a movie watcher. My ADD much prefers 22–40 minute TV shows to feature length films. So despite my interest being piqued when it was originally released, I finally watched ‘Lucy’ last night. In case you’re not already familiar, the premise is that a woman is dosed…